Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 7.510466 8.346899 9.284410 10.422606 11.780170 13.364526 15.379177
2024-12-29 6.364673 7.496553 8.884689 10.752330 13.265575 16.636873 21.706129
2025-01-05 5.464857 6.654156 8.191773 10.396105 13.606715 18.357299 26.486725
2025-01-12 4.811541 5.994845 7.582551 9.966212 13.652550 19.551250 30.829955
2025-01-19 4.358687 5.532734 7.156743 9.691582 13.821787 20.918519 36.030991
2025-01-26 4.067617 5.253926 6.942809 9.679913 14.377895 23.070597 43.936708
2025-02-02 4.012741 5.296993 7.193088 10.419730 16.359427 28.564703 63.831392
2025-02-09 3.894132 5.230709 7.263164 10.865371 17.910210 33.846589 89.508075
2025-02-16 3.705964 5.040448 7.113527 10.899813 18.654302 37.599664 115.924531
2025-02-23 3.601224 4.967670 7.142825 11.257053 20.162534 44.136788 170.040913
2025-03-02 3.371035 4.679865 6.786524 10.836047 19.833489 45.240135 197.375282
2025-03-09 3.189239 4.457330 6.522516 10.561462 19.793778 47.293881 240.471256
2025-03-16 3.018202 4.256106 6.303988 10.403699 20.148842 51.481194 336.242727
2025-03-23 2.932983 4.191667 6.323862 10.748435 21.937950 62.836931 702.340722
2025-03-30 2.758499 3.965857 6.032943 10.393089 21.743422 65.940899 1042.322677
2025-04-06 2.591078 3.741372 5.726127 9.963408 21.235515 67.329881 1472.933158
2025-04-13 2.459105 3.569110 5.502106 9.688893 21.123396 70.837198 2586.622433
2025-04-20 2.371603 3.467381 5.400949 9.677229 21.816903 79.815950 10047.306843
2025-04-27 2.378032 3.527623 5.610412 10.416736 25.221618 113.132311 NaN
2025-05-04 2.348103 3.521392 5.690073 10.862186 27.880451 151.059265 NaN
2025-05-11 2.278261 3.439116 5.610964 10.896614 29.031740 179.764494 NaN
2025-05-18 2.243340 3.417781 5.653057 11.253697 31.697267 244.942192 NaN
2025-05-25 2.140830 3.267014 5.417083 10.832875 30.830877 249.186154 NaN